Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	0	5	0	-	-	-	2	1.75	1.4
Away	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	-	2.85	2.12	1.85	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
6	4	1.53	2.38	1.22	1.12	-	-	1.12	6	1.6	2.3	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.8% | EV +6.5% | ROI +7.7% | n=474 | k=2.30

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.6% | EV +6.3% | ROI -1.5% | n=474 | k=1.75

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +3.2% | EV +4.6% | ROI +7.5% | n=474 | k=1.44

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.0% | EV +7.0% | ROI -3.7% | n=474 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At 37 minutes, FC Koln leads Union Berlin 1-0, but the game shows no clear dominance from either side in shots or pressure recently. Market odds have shifted significantly in favor of the away team, reflecting the scoreline, yet the tempo is slower than their last meeting. Historical data on similar situations is weak and does not support a confident bet on the home handicap +1.5, despite the model indicating a positive edge and expected value. The top-4 markets suggest watching options like under 2.5 goals or home handicap +1.5, but all recommend monitoring rather than placing a bet now due to risk and historical ROI concerns.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388594 | minute: 37