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Match Replay

Step 28 of 69. Current minute: 42 .
Germany | Bundesliga | Union Berlin - FC Koln | 02.05.2026 | 18:30:00 | LIVE 42'   —   Union Berlin 0:1 FC Koln
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 6 0 6 0 - - - 2 1.75 1.38
Away 1 0 0 2 1 1 2 - 3 2.12 1.85 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
6.5 4 1.53 2.38 1.22 1.11 - - 1.14 5.5 1.73 2.08 3.4 1.33
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.6% | EV +5.3% | ROI +6.6% | n=467 | k=2.08
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.3% | EV +5.8% | ROI -1.3% | n=467 | k=1.75
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.8% | EV +3.8% | ROI +3.6% | n=467 | k=1.33
4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.0% | EV +5.5% | ROI -4.9% | n=467 | k=1.38
AI-agent: At 42 minutes, FC Koln leads Union Berlin 1-0, but the match shows no clear dominance in shots or sustained pressure from either side. The market has shifted significantly in favor of the guests, with odds dropping by 41% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not confirm a reliable edge, despite the model suggesting a potential value bet on Union Berlin +1.5 handicap with a moderate expected value. The top markets recommend watching under 2.5 goals and Asian handicaps on the home side, but no strong betting opportunity is confirmed yet, so this is a monitoring phase rather than a clear entry moment.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388594 | minute: 42