Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	7	0	7	0	-	-	-	2	1.75	1.38
Away	1	0	0	3	1	2	2	-	3	2.12	1.85	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
7	3.75	1.5	2.5	1.25	1.1	-	-	1.17	5	1.82	2.02	3.5	1.3

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +3.4% | EV +6.9% | ROI +9.7% | n=458 | k=2.02

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.9% | EV +6.8% | ROI +0.1% | n=458 | k=1.75

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.8% | EV +6.5% | ROI -3.3% | n=458 | k=1.38

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.9% | EV +2.4% | ROI +5.0% | n=458 | k=1.30

AI-agent: At 45 minutes, FC Koln leads Union Berlin 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the guests, with odds dropping 44% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score. However, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side, though Koln shows more activity recently. Historical checks for a home handicap +1.5 bet are weak and do not confirm a reliable entry despite a model edge of +4.8% and expected value of +6.5%. Top-4 markets suggest watching under 2.5 goals or home handicap lines, but no strong bet is advised now. This is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet opportunity, and caution is recommended given the uncertain game dynamics and historical ROI below threshold.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388594 | minute: 45