Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	7	0	7	0	-	-	-	2	1.85	1.4
Away	1	0	0	4	2	2	4	-	2.85	2	1.85	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
8	4	1.44	2.62	1.22	1.08	-	-	1.2	4.5	1.98	1.88	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.0% | EV +5.6% | ROI +4.1% | n=458 | k=1.85

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +3.3% | EV +6.2% | ROI +1.5% | n=458 | k=1.88

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.3% | EV +6.0% | ROI -1.6% | n=458 | k=1.40

4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.4% | EV +11.0% | ROI -29.3% | n=458 | k=4.50

AI-agent: At 45 minutes, FC Koln leads Union Berlin 1-0 with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the guests, reflected by a 44% drop in their odds from pre-match levels, although shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side. The recent phase shows Koln pressing more actively, while Union Berlin is below their usual level. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not confirm a reliable edge, despite a model signal suggesting a +1.5 handicap on Union Berlin with a modest positive expected value. Top-4 market indicators recommend watching rather than betting now, emphasizing cautious monitoring rather than a firm entry due to mixed ROI and historical checks. This is a situation to observe the game flow closely before considering any stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388594 | minute: 45