Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	8	1	7	2	-	-	-	2	1.8	1.2
Away	2	0	0	6	3	3	4	-	4.4	2.05	1.85	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
29	4.5	1.22	4	1.18	1.01	-	-	-	-	-	-	2.05	1.8

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +23.8% | EV +42.8% | ROI +1.3% | n=206 | k=1.80

2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +5.5% | EV +10.0% | ROI +18.8% | n=206 | k=1.80

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +0.5% | EV +1.8% | ROI -28.2% | n=206 | k=4.00

4) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -5.7% | EV -25.7% | ROI -30.1% | n=206 | k=4.50

AI-agent: At 79 minutes, FC Koln leads Union Berlin 2-1 in this Bundesliga match. Market pressure favors the away side, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team. Historical data for similar situations strongly supports a +1.5 handicap on the home side, showing an 86.9% success rate and positive ROI, which aligns with the model's confirmed signal offering an attractive edge and expected value. However, no new bet is recommended now as this position is already covered. The top markets suggest watching the home +1 handicap and under 3.5 goals, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk control given the current game dynamics and balanced play despite the scoreline.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388594 | minute: 79