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Germany | Bundesliga | Union Berlin - FC Koln | 02.05.2026 | 18:30:00 | LIVE 47'   —   Union Berlin 0:1 FC Koln
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 8 0 8 0 - - - 2 1.85 1.4
Away 1 0 0 4 2 2 4 - 2.85 2 1.85 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
8.5 4 1.44 2.62 1.22 1.07 - - 1.22 4.33 2.05 1.8 4.33 1.22
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.4% | EV +6.3% | ROI +2.0% | n=452 | k=1.85
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +3.0% | EV +5.4% | ROI +0.8% | n=452 | k=1.80
3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.0% | EV +7.0% | ROI -2.4% | n=452 | k=1.40
4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.6% | EV +11.4% | ROI -24.3% | n=452 | k=4.33
AI-agent: At 47 minutes, FC Koln leads Union Berlin 1-0, with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the guests, reflected by a 44% drop in their odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not strongly confirm dominance. The recent phase shows Koln pressing more actively, while Union Berlin is underperforming compared to their usual level. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support opening a bet despite a model signal for a +1.5 handicap on Union Berlin with a positive edge and expected value. The top-4 markets suggest watching the +1 and +1.5 handicaps and under 2.5 goals, but no clear betting opportunity is confirmed, so this remains a monitoring scenario rather than a mandatory bet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388594 | minute: 47