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Germany | Bundesliga | Union Berlin - FC Koln | 02.05.2026 | 18:30:00 | LIVE 88'   —   Union Berlin 1:2 FC Koln
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 11 1 10 2 - - - 2 1.65 1.11
Away 2 0 0 7 4 3 5 - 6.6 2.3 1.85 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
51 5.5 1.17 5 1.14 1 - - - - - - 2.9 1.43
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.5% | EV +42.1% | ROI -1.3% | n=202 | k=1.65
2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +3.6% | EV +5.1% | ROI +15.7% | n=202 | k=1.42
3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.2% | EV +11.1% | ROI -45.5% | n=202 | k=5.00
4) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -4.7% | EV -26.0% | ROI -42.8% | n=202 | k=5.50
AI-agent: At the 88th minute, FC Koln leads Union Berlin 2-1 in a match where the market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 56% from pre-match levels considering the current score. Shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side, though Union Berlin is pressing more in the final stages. Historical data for similar situations shows a slight edge for the home team with AH+1 handicap but with a negative ROI and weak historical validation. The model identifies AH_HOME+1 as the best bet with a strong edge and expected value, yet the entry window for this market closed after the 86th minute. Current top-4 market signals suggest monitoring AH_HOME+1 and other options like under 3.5 goals and double chance 1X, but no mandatory bets are recommended now due to risk and timing factors.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388594 | minute: 88