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Match Replay

Step 15 of 66. Current minute: 18 .
Germany | Bundesliga | Werder Bremen - Augsburg | 02.05.2026 | 18:30:00 | LIVE 18'   —   Werder Bremen 0:0 Augsburg
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 - - 2.75 1.43 - -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - 2.75 1.43 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.95 3.4 3.75 1.25 1.3 1.73 1.05 11 1.28 3.75 1.88 1.98 3.2 1.36
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +9.5% | EV +35.6% | ROI +33.2% | n=428 | k=3.75
2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +3.1% | EV +5.3% | ROI +13.8% | n=428 | k=1.73
3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.5% | EV +2.1% | ROI +12.3% | n=428 | k=1.42
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.3% | EV -0.6% | ROI +5.2% | n=428 | k=1.98
AI-agent: At 18 minutes into the match between Werder Bremen and Augsburg, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. The market shows no strong signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, indicating balanced pressure without clear dominance in shots or tempo. Historical data from 428 similar matches suggests a 35.5% probability and a positive ROI of 33.2% for an away win, with a fair odds estimate of 2.82. The model identifies an edge of +9.5% and expected value of +35.6% for an Augsburg win at odds of 3.75, but the entry conditions are not yet met given the current score and match dynamics. The top-4 market signals recommend watching rather than betting now, highlighting this as a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory stake. Risk control advises caution despite the promising statistical edge.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388595 | minute: 18