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Match Replay

Step 18 of 66. Current minute: 23 .
Germany | Bundesliga | Werder Bremen - Augsburg | 02.05.2026 | 18:30:00 | LIVE 23'   —   Werder Bremen 0:0 Augsburg
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 - - 2.85 1.45 - -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - 2.67 1.4 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2 3.4 3.75 1.25 1.3 1.73 1.06 10 1.3 3.5 2 1.85 3.4 1.33
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +9.8% | EV +36.8% | ROI +30.6% | n=379 | k=3.75
2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +3.7% | EV +6.3% | ROI +13.9% | n=379 | k=1.73
3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.9% | EV +2.6% | ROI +11.1% | n=379 | k=1.40
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.5% | EV -0.9% | ROI +4.9% | n=379 | k=1.85
AI-agent: At 23 minutes into the Werder Bremen vs Augsburg match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is favoring the away team, with odds dropping 44% from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter, which also ended 0-0. Historical data from 379 similar matches shows a 34.8% probability and a positive ROI of 30.6% for an away win, with a fair odds estimate of 2.87. The model identifies an edge of +9.8% and an expected value of +36.8% on an away win at odds of 3.75, but the entry criteria based on current match dynamics are not fully met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation with a potential value bet on the away win, but risk control suggests waiting for clearer confirmation before placing a stake.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388595 | minute: 23