Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	0	3	5	-	-	2.67	2.85	1.38	-
Away	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	-	3	1.4	1.45	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	3.5	1.91	1.8	1.28	1.22	-	-	1.1	7	1.5	2.62	2.5	1.53

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +22.3% | EV +32.3% | ROI +31.3% | n=128 | k=1.45

2) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.3% | ROI +1.8% | n=128 | k=1.53

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.5% | ROI +14.8% | n=128 | k=2.62

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.6% | EV -7.8% | ROI +21.9% | n=128 | k=3.00

AI-agent: At 39 minutes, Augsburg leads Werder Bremen 1-0, with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors Augsburg, with odds dropping 47% from pre-match levels, though shot data doesn't clearly support dominance by either side. The recent phase shows Bremen pressing, but overall play remains balanced. Historical data supports a +1 Asian Handicap on Augsburg with a strong 92.4% win rate and 31.3% ROI over 128 matches. The model sees a promising edge (+22.3%) and expected value (+32.3%) on AH_AWAY+1 at 1.45 odds, but entry conditions based on current score and tempo aren't met yet. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, suggesting careful monitoring before committing stakes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388595 | minute: 39