Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	10	4	6	7	-	-	2.67	1.45	1.45	3
Away	3	0	0	12	6	6	1	-	1.38	2.67	2.67	1.45	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
41	13	1.04	13	1.04	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +46.9% | EV +125.5% | ROI +158.2% | n=18 | k=2.67

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.4% | EV +35.4% | ROI +45.0% | n=18 | k=1.45

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +7.3% | EV +21.8% | ROI -83.3% | n=18 | k=3.00

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -13.3% | EV -18.3% | ROI +29.9% | n=18 | k=1.38

AI-agent: At the 79th minute, Augsburg leads Werder Bremen 3-1 in this Bundesliga match. Market pressure favors Augsburg strongly, with odds dropping by 71% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score and game dynamics. Although the match was balanced earlier, Augsburg has been more active in shots, and the scoreline aligns with the match flow. Historical data for similar situations shows a strong edge for the away handicap -1, but the sample size is too small for a confident bet. The model identifies a promising opportunity on Augsburg -1 handicap with good expected value, yet entry conditions based on score and tempo are not met, so this remains a watch situation. Overall, this is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, and caution is advised given the current game state and incomplete historical confirmation.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388595 | minute: 79