Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	10	4	6	7	-	-	2.67	1.45	1.45	3.1
Away	3	0	0	12	6	6	1	-	1.35	2.67	2.67	1.45	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
51	15	1.03	13	1.03	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +47.9% | EV +128.0% | ROI +158.2% | n=18 | k=2.67

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.5% | EV +35.5% | ROI +45.0% | n=18 | k=1.45

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +7.0% | EV +21.6% | ROI -82.8% | n=18 | k=3.10

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -13.3% | EV -18.0% | ROI +27.5% | n=18 | k=1.35

AI-agent: At the 81st minute, Augsburg leads Werder Bremen 3-1 in this Bundesliga match. Market pressure favors Augsburg strongly, with odds dropping 71% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score and game flow. Although the match was balanced earlier, Augsburg has been more active in shots, but no sustained pressure is seen in the last minutes. Historical data for similar situations shows a strong edge for Augsburg on a -1 handicap with excellent ROI, but the sample size is below the minimum threshold, making the historical check weak. The model identifies a promising bet on Augsburg -1 handicap with a 2.67 odds and high expected value, yet the entry criteria based on current score, tempo, and stats are not fully met, so this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet. Risk control advises monitoring this opportunity carefully without rushing to place a stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388595 | minute: 81