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Match Replay

Step 59 of 66. Current minute: 85 .
Germany | Bundesliga | Werder Bremen - Augsburg | 02.05.2026 | 18:30:00 | LIVE 85'   —   Werder Bremen 1:3 Augsburg
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 12 4 8 8 - - 2.67 1.45 1.45 3.8
Away 3 0 0 13 7 6 2 - 1.25 2.67 2.67 1.45 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
67 21 1.02 19 1.01 1 - - - - - - - -
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +49.1% | EV +131.4% | ROI +148.2% | n=26 | k=2.67
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.6% | EV +35.7% | ROI +45.0% | n=26 | k=1.45
3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +7.6% | EV +29.1% | ROI -56.2% | n=26 | k=3.80
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -31.0% | EV -82.8% | ROI -100.0% | n=26 | k=2.67
AI-agent: At the 85th minute, Augsburg leads Werder Bremen 3-1, with no red cards yet. Market pressure clearly favors Augsburg, as their odds have dropped significantly from pre-match levels, reflecting their dominance in shots and control in the final phase. Historical data for similar situations shows a strong edge for the away handicap -1, but the sample size is slightly below the ideal threshold, making the historical check weak. The model identifies a promising bet on Augsburg -1 handicap with a high expected value and edge, yet the entry conditions based on current score and match tempo are not fully met, so this remains a watch situation. Top-4 markets also suggest monitoring rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk control despite the attractive odds and positive ROI indicators.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388595 | minute: 85