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Match Replay

Step 24 of 78. Current minute: 27 .
Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 27'   —   Alaves 0:1 Mallorca
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 - - 3 3.3 1.43 -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - 2.75 1.32 1.38 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.5 3.4 1.8 1.91 1.3 1.18 - - 1.11 6.5 1.57 2.38 2.75 1.44
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +19.5% | EV +26.9% | ROI +26.3% | n=472 | k=1.38
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.4% | EV +3.4% | ROI -4.9% | n=472 | k=2.38
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.6% | EV +3.7% | ROI -4.2% | n=472 | k=1.44
4) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +1.3% | EV +1.6% | ROI -2.8% | n=472 | k=1.30
AI-agent: At 27 minutes into the Alaves vs Mallorca match, Mallorca leads 1-0, but the game shows no clear dominance in shots or sustained pressure from either side. Market odds have shifted significantly in favor of Mallorca, reflecting the current score, yet the tempo is slower compared to their last encounter. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1 with a 94.1% win rate and a 26.3% ROI, and the model indicates a positive expected value of +26.9%. However, the entry conditions for placing a bet are not fully met due to the current match dynamics, so this is a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Monitoring the handicap +1 for Mallorca is advisable, considering the favorable historical and model indicators but with caution given the in-game context.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 27