Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	3	1.48	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.6	1.38	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.05	3.25	3.75	1.25	1.33	1.67	1.06	10	1.3	3.5	2	1.85	3.4	1.33

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +8.9% | EV +33.4% | ROI +33.6% | n=2604 | k=3.75

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +2.2% | EV +3.7% | ROI +8.6% | n=2604 | k=1.67

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.7% | EV +3.2% | ROI -3.7% | n=2604 | k=1.85

4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.9% | EV +6.7% | ROI -12.8% | n=2604 | k=3.50

AI-agent: At 4 minutes into the Alaves vs Mallorca match, the score is 0-0 with no red cards. Market signals are neutral with no strong odds drop from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced pressure and no clear dominance in shots or tempo. Historical data from over 2600 similar matches shows a 35.6% probability and positive ROI favoring an away win, with a fair odds estimate around 2.81. The model identifies an edge of +8.9% and expected value of +33.4% for a Mallorca victory at odds of 3.75, but the entry conditions are not yet met due to current match dynamics. The top-4 markets suggest watching rather than betting now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory stake. Caution is advised given the even early game rhythm and lack of decisive signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 4