Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	6	2	4	5	-	-	3	3.45	1.3	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	3.45	1.3	1.38	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
5	3.2	1.83	1.83	1.33	1.17	-	-	1.28	3.75	2.15	1.68	4.5	1.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +20.7% | EV +28.4% | ROI +28.4% | n=458 | k=1.38

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.4% | ROI -9.3% | n=458 | k=1.68

3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +1.5% | EV +2.0% | ROI -2.8% | n=458 | k=1.33

4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.1% | EV +8.0% | ROI -41.0% | n=458 | k=3.75

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, Mallorca leads Alaves 1-0, though the match dynamics show Alaves pressing more aggressively, especially in the recent phase. Market odds have shifted strongly in favor of Mallorca, with the handicap +1 for the away team showing a significant edge and positive expected value based on historical data from 458 similar matches. However, the current model advises caution as the entry conditions for placing this bet are not fully met given the match tempo and scoreline. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, with other top markets also suggesting watch-only status to control risk.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 45