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Match Replay

Step 43 of 78. Current minute: 46 .
Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 46'   —   Alaves 0:1 Mallorca
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 7 2 5 6 - - 3 3.55 1.32 -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - 3.3 1.27 1.38 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
5.5 3.2 1.8 1.91 1.33 1.14 - - 1.28 3.75 2.25 1.62 5 1.17
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +20.8% | EV +28.5% | ROI +28.8% | n=455 | k=1.38
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.4% | ROI -10.7% | n=455 | k=1.62
3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +1.5% | EV +2.0% | ROI -2.7% | n=455 | k=1.33
4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.1% | EV +8.0% | ROI -39.0% | n=455 | k=3.75
AI-agent: At 46 minutes, Mallorca leads Alaves 1-0 despite Alaves showing more attacking pressure and shots, indicating the scoreline doesn't fully reflect the match dynamics. Historical data strongly supports a +1 Asian Handicap on Mallorca with a 95.5% win rate and a solid ROI of 28.8%. The model identifies a +20.8% edge and +28.5% expected value on this handicap at odds of 1.38, but entry conditions based on current tempo and score are not yet met, so this is a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Other top markets also suggest monitoring without mandatory entries, emphasizing risk control in this balanced but slightly favoring Mallorca scenario.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 46