Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	8	2	6	7	-	-	3	1.45	1.32	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	3.3	2.67	1.38	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
6.5	3.25	1.67	2.1	1.33	1.11	-	-	1.38	3	2.75	1.43	7	1.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +21.0% | EV +28.9% | ROI +31.0% | n=409 | k=1.38

2) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +2.5% | EV +3.4% | ROI -0.6% | n=409 | k=1.33

3) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.8% | EV +5.4% | ROI -23.7% | n=409 | k=3.00

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.2% | EV +1.6% | ROI -17.5% | n=409 | k=1.32

AI-agent: At the 56th minute, Mallorca leads Alaves 1-0 in a closely contested match where Alaves has been more active in shots and pressure, especially recently. The market strongly favors a draw, with odds dropping 36% from pre-match levels, reflecting the tight game despite the scoreline. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1 bet, showing a 97.1% win rate and 31% ROI over 409 similar matches. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current game dynamics and entry rules. This is a watch situation with the best value on AH_AWAY+1 at 1.38 odds, offering good expected value but requiring careful risk management given the match flow and score. Other top markets also suggest monitoring rather than immediate betting.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 56