Match Replay

Step 61 of 78. Current minute: 69 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	11	3	8	9	-	3.45	1.68	1.45	1.32	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	-	-	3.3	2.67	2.25	1.3

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.18	5.5	34	1	1.14	4.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.88	1.98

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +5.3% | EV +23.7% | ROI +249.2% | n=366 | k=4.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +8.5% | EV +19.1% | ROI +97.0% | n=366 | k=2.25

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +5.3% | EV +10.5% | ROI +75.9% | n=366 | k=1.98

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +14.5% | EV +19.2% | ROI +22.9% | n=366 | k=1.32

AI-agent: At 69 minutes with Alaves leading 2-1 against Mallorca, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 44% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Alaves have been more active in shots and pressure, especially in the recent phase, outperforming their previous head-to-head benchmark while Mallorca is below their usual level. Historical data supports a +1 Asian Handicap on Alaves with a 96.7% win rate and a solid ROI of 22.9%. The model shows a positive edge (+14.5%) and expected value (+19.2%) for this bet at odds of 1.32, but the entry conditions are not fully met yet given the current score dynamics and match tempo. The top-4 markets suggest a watch status across all options, indicating this is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet. Caution and risk control are advised before committing to a stake here.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 69