Match Replay

Step 64 of 78. Current minute: 75 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	13	4	9	9	-	3.7	1.68	1.45	1.32	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	-	-	3.3	2.67	2.25	1.26

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.17	5.5	41	1	1.14	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	2.12	1.75

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +10.2% | EV +23.0% | ROI +7.8% | n=177 | k=2.25

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +14.5% | EV +19.2% | ROI +31.4% | n=177 | k=1.32

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +7.3% | EV +36.3% | ROI +10.2% | n=177 | k=5.00

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +4.7% | EV +8.3% | ROI -4.1% | n=177 | k=1.75

AI-agent: At 75 minutes with Alaves leading 2-1 against Mallorca, the market favors the home side, reflected by a 44% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The game has been fairly balanced, though Alaves has shown more activity in shots. Historical data strongly supports a +1 handicap for Alaves with a 100% win rate in similar situations and a solid ROI of 31.4%. The model identifies a +1 handicap for Alaves as the best option with a 14.5% edge and 19.2% expected value, but the entry conditions are not fully met yet, so no bet is advised now. The top markets suggest monitoring the +1 handicap for both sides and the double chance on Mallorca, indicating a watchful approach rather than a mandatory bet to control risk.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 75