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Step 65 of 78. Current minute: 77 .
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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 77'   —   Alaves 2:1 Mallorca
← Back Step 65 of 78 Forward → Start Finish Archive
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 13 4 9 9 - 4 1.75 1.45 1.32 -
Away 1 0 0 2 2 0 2 - - 3.3 2.67 2.12 1.23
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.17 5.5 41 1 1.14 5 - - - - - - 2.15 1.73
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +14.5% | EV +19.2% | ROI +31.5% | n=192 | k=1.32
2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +7.3% | EV +36.3% | ROI +6.8% | n=192 | k=5.00
3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +9.5% | EV +20.2% | ROI +4.8% | n=192 | k=2.12
4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +4.5% | EV +7.8% | ROI -2.1% | n=192 | k=1.73
AI-agent: At the 77th minute, Alaves leads Mallorca 2-1 in a closely contested LaLiga match. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 44% from pre-match levels, reflecting their more active shot count and slightly better performance compared to recent head-to-heads. Historical data strongly supports a +1 handicap for Alaves with a 100% win rate in similar situations and a solid ROI of 31.5%. The model identifies a promising +1 handicap bet at 1.32 odds with a 14.5% edge and 19.2% expected value, but entry conditions based on current score and match tempo are not fully met, so this remains a watch situation. Overall, this is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, with risk control advised given the match dynamics and statistical signals.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 77