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Match Replay

Step 70 of 78. Current minute: 85 .
Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 85'   —   Alaves 2:1 Mallorca
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 13 4 9 9 - 5 1.75 1.45 1.32 -
Away 1 0 0 3 2 1 3 - - 3.3 2.67 2.12 1.17
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.11 6.5 67 1 1.11 6.5 - - - - - - 2.8 1.45
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.2% | EV +25.9% | ROI +6.6% | n=194 | k=2.12
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +14.6% | EV +19.3% | ROI +32.2% | n=194 | k=1.32
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +3.1% | EV +4.5% | ROI +8.4% | n=194 | k=1.45
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -16.4% | EV -28.6% | ROI -7.5% | n=194 | k=1.75
AI-agent: At the 85th minute with Alaves leading 2-1 against Mallorca, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 47% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Alaves have been more active in shots and maintain a slight edge compared to their previous meeting, while Mallorca is underperforming relative to their usual level. Historical data supports a +1 handicap on Alaves with a 100% win rate in 194 similar matches and a solid ROI of 32.2%. Although the model shows a positive edge (+14.6%) and expected value (+19.3%) for this bet, the entry conditions are not fully met due to current match dynamics, so this remains a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Risk control advises monitoring the AH_HOME+1 market closely but not committing yet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 85