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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	-	-	3	3	1.4	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	2.85	1.38	1.38	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.33	3.4	1.91	1.8	1.3	1.2	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.57	2.38	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +19.2% | EV +26.5% | ROI +26.3% | n=469 | k=1.38

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.4% | EV +3.4% | ROI -5.8% | n=469 | k=2.38

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.6% | EV +3.7% | ROI -5.5% | n=469 | k=1.44

4) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +0.6% | EV +0.7% | ROI -2.2% | n=469 | k=1.30

AI-agent: At 26 minutes, Mallorca leads Alaves 1-0 in this LaLiga match. Market pressure favors Mallorca with a significant odds drop of 48% from pre-match levels, though shot data does not confirm dominance by either side. Both teams play at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, which ended 1-0. Historical data strongly supports a bet on Mallorca with +1 handicap, showing a 94% win rate and 26.3% ROI over 469 matches. The model indicates a positive edge of 19.2% and expected value of 26.5% on this handicap at odds of 1.38. However, the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not fully met, so this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet. Risk control suggests monitoring the AH +1 market closely before committing.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 26