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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 37'   —   Alaves 0:1 Mallorca
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 5 2 3 3 - - 3 3.1 1.35 -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - 3.1 1.35 1.38 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.5 3.25 1.83 1.83 1.33 1.18 - - 1.17 5 1.8 2.05 3.4 1.33
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +19.5% | EV +26.8% | ROI +28.0% | n=474 | k=1.38
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.8% | EV +3.7% | ROI -4.0% | n=474 | k=2.05
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.3% | EV +3.1% | ROI -0.7% | n=474 | k=1.33
4) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +2.1% | EV +2.8% | ROI -0.2% | n=474 | k=1.33
AI-agent: At 37 minutes, Mallorca leads Alaves 1-0, though the match dynamics show Alaves pressing more actively, especially in recent minutes. The market has shifted significantly in favor of Mallorca, with odds dropping by 50% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline. Historical data strongly supports a +1 Asian Handicap on Mallorca, showing a 95.5% success rate and a 28% ROI over 474 matches. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current match tempo and score conditions. This is a watch situation with promising edges on the +1 AH for Mallorca, but no mandatory entry now. Monitoring is advised to control risk and wait for clearer confirmation.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 37