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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 45'   —   Alaves 0:1 Mallorca
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 6 2 4 5 - - 3 3.45 1.32 -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - 3.3 1.3 1.38 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
5 3.2 1.8 1.91 1.33 1.17 - - 1.25 4 2.1 1.7 4.5 1.2
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +20.7% | EV +28.4% | ROI +28.4% | n=458 | k=1.38
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.4% | ROI -7.9% | n=458 | k=1.70
3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +1.8% | EV +2.4% | ROI -2.8% | n=458 | k=1.33
4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.0% | EV +7.8% | ROI -37.1% | n=458 | k=4.00
AI-agent: At the 45th minute, Mallorca leads Alaves 1-0 in a closely contested LaLiga match. The market increasingly favors Mallorca with a significant odds drop of 51% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline. Despite Mallorca's lead, Alaves has been more active in shots and applying pressure, especially in the recent phase. Historical data supports a strong edge for the +1 Asian Handicap on Mallorca, showing a 95.2% win rate and a 28.4% ROI over 458 similar matches. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current match dynamics and entry rules. The top markets suggest watching the +1 Asian Handicap on Mallorca with a 20.7% edge and 28.4% expected value, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet. Caution is advised given the match tempo and score discrepancy.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 45