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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 48'   —   Alaves 0:1 Mallorca
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 7 2 5 6 - - 3 3.55 1.32 -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - 3.3 1.27 1.38 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
5.5 3.2 1.8 1.91 1.33 1.14 - - 1.28 3.75 2.25 1.62 5 1.17
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +20.8% | EV +28.6% | ROI +29.3% | n=450 | k=1.38
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.4% | ROI -6.8% | n=450 | k=1.62
3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +1.5% | EV +2.0% | ROI -1.1% | n=450 | k=1.33
4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.1% | EV +8.0% | ROI -30.8% | n=450 | k=3.75
AI-agent: At the 48th minute with Mallorca leading 1-0, the market shows strong support for the away side, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels. Although Alaves have been more active in shots and applying pressure recently, the scoreline favors Mallorca, reflecting a close but slightly advantageous position for the visitors. Historical data for similar situations strongly supports a +1 Asian Handicap on Mallorca, showing a 95.7% success rate and a 29.3% ROI over 450 matches. The model identifies a promising edge of +20.8% and expected value of +28.6% for this bet, but the entry conditions based on current game tempo and score are not fully met, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. The top recommended markets all suggest monitoring rather than immediate action, emphasizing risk control and waiting for clearer confirmation.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 48