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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 54'   —   Alaves 0:1 Mallorca
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 8 2 6 7 - - 3 1.45 1.35 -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - 3.1 2.67 1.38 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
6.5 3.25 1.67 2.1 1.33 1.11 - - 1.35 3.1 2.67 1.45 6.5 1.11
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +21.0% | EV +28.9% | ROI +30.9% | n=421 | k=1.38
2) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +2.5% | EV +3.4% | ROI -2.2% | n=421 | k=1.33
3) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.7% | EV +5.3% | ROI -27.8% | n=421 | k=3.10
4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.9% | EV +2.6% | ROI -16.9% | n=421 | k=1.35
AI-agent: At 54 minutes, Mallorca leads Alaves 1-0, though the match remains closely contested with Alaves applying pressure and more shots on goal. Market odds have shifted significantly in favor of Mallorca, reflecting the current score but not fully the in-game dominance of Alaves. Historical data supports a strong value on the Asian Handicap +1 for Mallorca, showing a 96.9% win rate and a 30.9% ROI over 421 similar matches. The model identifies a +21% edge and +28.9% expected value on this bet, but entry conditions based on match tempo and score dynamics are not yet met, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. Monitoring is advised to manage risk and confirm if the market conditions align for a potential bet on Mallorca's handicap advantage.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 54