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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 61'   —   Alaves 1:1 Mallorca
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 11 3 8 9 - - 3 1.45 1.32 -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - 3.3 2.67 1.38 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.75 2 5 1.17 1.73 1.4 - - - - 1.57 2.38 3.75 1.28
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +21.5% | EV +28.5% | ROI +19.8% | n=364 | k=1.32
2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +7.2% | EV +35.9% | ROI +27.7% | n=364 | k=5.00
3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.6% | EV +24.1% | ROI +22.5% | n=364 | k=1.38
4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.4% | EV +3.4% | ROI -2.1% | n=364 | k=2.38
AI-agent: At the 61st minute, the score is tied 1-1 between Alaves and Mallorca in LaLiga. The market is leaning towards a draw, with odds dropping 39% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline. Alaves are more active and applying pressure, especially in shots and tempo, compared to Mallorca, who are underperforming relative to their usual level. Historical data supports a strong edge for the home handicap +1 (94.4% win rate, 19.8% ROI), and the model shows a +21.5% edge with +28.5% expected value on this bet. However, the entry conditions based on the live match dynamics are not fully met, so this remains a watch situation rather than a firm betting opportunity. Monitoring this market is advisable given the favorable historical and model indicators but without a confirmed trigger for placing a bet now.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 61