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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	11	3	8	9	-	-	3	1.48	1.32	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	-	-	3.3	2.6	1.38	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.75	1.95	5	1.17	1.73	1.4	-	-	-	-	1.61	2.3	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +21.5% | EV +28.5% | ROI +19.9% | n=358 | k=1.32

2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +6.9% | EV +34.5% | ROI +29.9% | n=358 | k=5.00

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +19.2% | EV +26.5% | ROI +24.5% | n=358 | k=1.38

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.5% | EV +3.6% | ROI -1.1% | n=358 | k=2.30

AI-agent: At 63 minutes with the score tied 1-1 between Alaves and Mallorca, the market increasingly favors a draw, reflected by a 41% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Alaves are showing more attacking pressure and activity compared to their recent head-to-head benchmark, while Mallorca is underperforming relative to their usual level. Historical data strongly supports a +1 handicap for the home side, with a 94.6% win rate and nearly 20% ROI over 358 similar matches. The model identifies a promising +1 handicap for Alaves with a 21.5% edge and 28.5% expected value, but the entry conditions are not fully met yet given the current match dynamics. Top-4 market signals recommend watching this +1 handicap opportunity rather than betting immediately, suggesting a cautious approach to risk management in this balanced and competitive game.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 63