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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	11	3	8	9	-	3.3	1.65	1.45	1.32	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	-	-	3.3	2.67	2.3	1.32

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.18	5.5	29	1.01	1.14	4.5	-	-	-	-	1.95	1.9	1.8	2.05

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +5.3% | EV +23.8% | ROI +249.2% | n=366 | k=4.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +10.5% | EV +24.2% | ROI +97.0% | n=366 | k=2.30

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +5.2% | EV +10.7% | ROI +75.9% | n=366 | k=2.05

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +14.4% | EV +19.1% | ROI +22.9% | n=366 | k=1.32

AI-agent: At the 69th minute with the score tied at 1-1, the market shows increased confidence in Alaves, reflected by a 44% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Alaves is pressing more actively, confirmed by shot statistics and recent game tempo. Historical data supports a strong edge for a +1 handicap on the home side, with a 96.7% win rate and 22.9% ROI over 366 matches. However, the current model has not triggered a bet due to entry rules not being fully met in terms of score and match dynamics. The top-4 market signals suggest watching rather than betting now, indicating a monitoring phase with positive expected value but no mandatory entry. Caution is advised despite favorable indicators, as the situation remains fluid.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 69