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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	13	4	9	9	-	3.7	1.7	1.45	1.32	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	-	-	3.3	2.67	2.2	1.26

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.17	5.5	41	1	1.14	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	2.05	1.8

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +7.3% | EV +36.3% | ROI +16.5% | n=176 | k=5.00

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +14.5% | EV +19.2% | ROI +31.2% | n=176 | k=1.32

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +9.0% | EV +19.9% | ROI +7.5% | n=176 | k=2.20

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +4.8% | EV +8.7% | ROI -4.9% | n=176 | k=1.80

AI-agent: At 74 minutes in the Alaves vs Mallorca match, the home team leads 2-1 with no red cards. Market pressure favors Alaves, with odds dropping 44% from pre-match levels, reflecting their active shot count and current advantage. Historical data strongly supports a +1 handicap for Alaves, showing a 100% win rate in 176 similar matches and a solid ROI of 31.2%. Although the model identifies a promising +1 handicap bet with a 14.5% edge and 19.2% expected value, the entry conditions based on score, tempo, and stats are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. The top-4 market signals suggest watching rather than betting, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory entry, with risk control in place given the match dynamics and historical trends.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 74