Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.85	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	3	1.4	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.95	3.1	4.33	1.2	1.33	1.73	1.11	6.5	1.48	2.6	2.42	1.52	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +10.3% | EV +44.8% | ROI +36.9% | n=1209 | k=4.33

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +3.3% | EV +5.7% | ROI +11.3% | n=1209 | k=1.73

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.2% | EV +1.7% | ROI +13.2% | n=1209 | k=1.40

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.3% | EV -5.1% | ROI -1.1% | n=1209 | k=1.52

AI-agent: At 6 minutes into the Osasuna vs Sevilla match, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw with the odds dropping 9% from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced play without dominance in shots or tempo. Historical data from over 1200 similar matches supports an away win with a 31.6% probability and a strong ROI of 36.9%, though the current match pace is slower than their last encounter. The model identifies an edge for an away win at odds of 4.33 with an expected value of +44.8%, but the entry conditions are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring phase, with the best options being to watch the away win or double chance on the away team, while avoiding under 2.5 goals due to negative expected value and ROI.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391134 | minute: 6