Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	6	2	4	3	-	-	2.75	1.38	1.35	-
Away	1	0	0	6	2	4	3	-	-	3.1	3	1.43	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
15	3.4	1.4	2.75	1.3	1.03	-	-	1.93	1.93	6.5	1.11	21	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +23.9% | EV +34.0% | ROI +40.0% | n=179 | k=1.42

2) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +4.8% | EV +6.3% | ROI -0.5% | n=179 | k=1.30

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.7% | EV +7.7% | ROI -9.8% | n=179 | k=1.35

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.8% | EV -3.5% | ROI -1.1% | n=179 | k=1.92

AI-agent: At 72 minutes in the Osasuna vs Sevilla match, Sevilla leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors Sevilla, reflected by a 68% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not strongly confirm dominance. The recent phase shows Sevilla pressing, but the overall gameplay balance remains close, similar to their last meeting where the score was also 1-0 at this stage. Historical data strongly supports an Asian Handicap +1 for the away side with a 99.4% win rate and 40% ROI over 179 matches. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1 at 1.43 odds with a 23.9% edge and 34% expected value, but the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. The top markets suggest watching AH_AWAY+1 and double chance 1X, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet. Caution is recommended despite the positive historical edge, as the match dynamics do not fully confirm the entry criteria yet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391134 | minute: 72