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Match Replay

Step 51 of 67. Current minute: 75 .
Spain | LaLiga | Osasuna - Sevilla | 26.04.2026 | 21:30:00 | LIVE 75'   —   Osasuna 0:1 Sevilla
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 6 2 4 3 - - 2.75 1.38 1.32 -
Away 1 0 0 6 2 4 3 - - 3.3 3 1.43 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
15 3.4 1.44 2.62 1.3 1.03 - - 1.95 1.9 6.5 1.11 21 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +23.9% | EV +34.0% | ROI +39.9% | n=171 | k=1.42
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +7.3% | EV +9.7% | ROI -9.0% | n=171 | k=1.32
3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +4.4% | EV +5.7% | ROI +1.9% | n=171 | k=1.30
4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.1% | EV -4.0% | ROI +2.2% | n=171 | k=1.90
AI-agent: At 75 minutes with Osasuna 0-1 Sevilla, the market increasingly favors the visitors, with odds dropping 67% from pre-match levels reflecting the current score. Despite Sevilla's lead and pressure in the recent phase, shot data does not clearly confirm dominance. Historical data for similar situations strongly supports an away handicap +1 bet, showing a 99.4% win rate and a 39.9% ROI, but the model has not triggered the entry rule yet due to match tempo and stats. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, with the best option being the away +1 handicap offering a good edge and expected value, though caution is advised given the current game balance and no red cards. The under 1.5 goals market is not recommended now due to negative expected value.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391134 | minute: 75