Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	3.1	1.43	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.75	1.35	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.05	3.1	4	1.22	1.33	1.67	1.11	6.5	1.52	2.42	2.6	1.48	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +10.9% | EV +43.4% | ROI +26.6% | n=1074 | k=4.00

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +3.4% | EV +5.6% | ROI +8.7% | n=1074 | k=1.67

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +0.4% | EV +0.6% | ROI +10.9% | n=1074 | k=1.35

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.7% | EV -6.6% | ROI -3.4% | n=1074 | k=2.42

AI-agent: At 9 minutes into the Osasuna vs Sevilla match, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw with odds dropping 9% from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced play and no clear dominance in shots or tempo. Historical data from over 1,000 similar matches indicates a 31.7% chance and a positive ROI of 26.6% for an away win, with a fair odds estimate around 3.16. The model identifies an edge of +10.9% and expected value of +43.4% on an away win at odds of 4.00, but the entry criteria are not yet met due to the current score and match dynamics. Top-4 markets suggest monitoring the away win option carefully, as this is a watch situation rather than a firm betting opportunity, emphasizing risk control given the balanced game so far.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391134 | minute: 9