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Spain | LaLiga | Osasuna - Sevilla | 26.04.2026 | 21:30:00 | LIVE 17'   —   Osasuna 0:0 Sevilla
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 3.1 1.38 - -
Away 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 - - - 3 1.35 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2 3 4.5 1.18 1.36 1.73 1.14 5.5 1.62 2.25 3 1.4 6 1.12
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +10.4% | EV +46.6% | ROI +36.4% | n=904 | k=4.50
2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +3.8% | EV +6.5% | ROI +13.5% | n=904 | k=1.73
3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.4% | EV +3.2% | ROI +11.8% | n=904 | k=1.35
4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.6% | EV -5.9% | ROI +0.3% | n=904 | k=2.25
AI-agent: At 17 minutes into the Osasuna vs Sevilla match, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw with odds dropping 12% from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced play and no clear dominance in shots. Sevilla has had a slight edge in recent phases, but the score remains 0-0, matching the even tempo of the game. Historical data from 904 similar matches supports a 30.3% probability and a positive ROI of 36.4% for an away win, with a fair odds estimate of 3.30. Our model identifies an attractive value bet on Sevilla to win at 4.50 odds with a 10.4% edge and 46.6% expected value; however, the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation with potential upside, but risk control suggests waiting for clearer confirmation before placing a wager.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391134 | minute: 17