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Spain | LaLiga | Osasuna - Sevilla | 26.04.2026 | 21:30:00 | LIVE 73'   —   Osasuna 0:1 Sevilla
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 6 2 4 3 - - 2.75 1.38 1.35 -
Away 1 0 0 6 2 4 3 - - 3.1 3 1.43 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
17 3.5 1.4 2.75 1.28 1.02 - - 1.95 1.9 6.5 1.11 21 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +23.9% | EV +34.0% | ROI +40.0% | n=178 | k=1.42
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +6.3% | EV +8.5% | ROI -10.0% | n=178 | k=1.35
3) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.8% | EV -3.6% | ROI -1.4% | n=178 | k=1.95
4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.1% | EV -4.0% | ROI -6.1% | n=178 | k=1.90
AI-agent: At the 73rd minute in the Osasuna vs Sevilla match, Sevilla leads 1-0 with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the away team, reflected by a 68% drop in odds from pre-match levels, although shot data does not clearly support dominance. The recent phase shows Sevilla pressing, but the overall gameplay remains balanced, similar to their previous meeting where the score was also 1-0 at this stage. Historical data strongly supports an Asian Handicap +1 for Sevilla with a 99.4% win rate and 40% ROI over 178 matches. The model indicates a positive edge (+23.9%) and expected value (+34.0%) for this bet at odds of 1.43, but the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not fully met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation with potential upside, but caution is recommended given the match dynamics.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391134 | minute: 73