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Spain | LaLiga | Osasuna - Sevilla | 26.04.2026 | 21:30:00 | LIVE 79'   —   Osasuna 1:1 Sevilla
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 8 3 5 3 - - 2.75 1.38 1.32 -
Away 1 0 0 6 2 4 3 - - 3.3 3 1.43 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4 1.4 9.5 1.06 2.75 1.22 - - - - 2.9 1.43 17 1.02
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +23.0% | EV +32.8% | ROI +40.9% | n=155 | k=1.42
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +22.2% | EV +29.5% | ROI -6.2% | n=155 | k=1.32
3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -0.7% | EV -1.9% | ROI -0.8% | n=155 | k=2.75
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.3% | EV -3.3% | ROI -3.8% | n=155 | k=1.42
AI-agent: At 79 minutes in this LaLiga match between Osasuna and Sevilla, the score is tied 1-1. Market pressure favors the draw with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels, reflecting the balanced but slightly more active home side in terms of shots. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1, showing a 100% win rate in similar situations with a 40.9% ROI. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1 as the best value bet with a 23% edge and 32.8% expected value, but entry conditions are not yet fully met due to current match dynamics. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, suggesting careful monitoring before committing stakes.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391134 | minute: 79