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Spain | LaLiga | Osasuna - Sevilla | 26.04.2026 | 21:30:00 | LIVE 88'   —   Osasuna 1:1 Sevilla
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 11 5 6 3 - - 2.75 1.45 1.32 -
Away 1 0 0 7 2 5 4 - - 3.3 2.8 1.43 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
5.5 1.25 11 1.05 3.75 1.14 - - - - 3.6 1.28 26 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +23.4% | EV +33.4% | ROI +40.1% | n=177 | k=1.42
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +22.3% | EV +29.6% | ROI +29.5% | n=177 | k=1.32
3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +1.4% | EV +5.3% | ROI -57.6% | n=177 | k=3.75
4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.2% | EV -8.0% | ROI -57.3% | n=177 | k=3.60
AI-agent: At the 88th minute with the score tied at 1-1 between Osasuna and Sevilla, the market strongly favors a draw, reflected by a 63% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Osasuna has been more active in shots and pressure, especially in the closing stages, showing a higher tempo than their previous meeting where they led 1-0 at this point. Historical data supports a +1 Asian Handicap on Sevilla with a 100% win rate in 177 similar matches and a strong ROI of 40.1%. The model identifies a +1 AH on Sevilla with a 23.4% edge and 33.4% expected value, but the entry window closed after the 86th minute, so no bet is advised now. The top markets suggest monitoring the +1 AH on either side due to positive edges but recommend no new bets at this late stage, emphasizing risk control in this balanced and tense finish.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391134 | minute: 88