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Spain | LaLiga | Osasuna - Sevilla | 26.04.2026 | 21:30:00 | LIVE 90'   —   Osasuna 1:1 Sevilla
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 12 5 7 3 - - 2.75 1.43 1.32 -
Away 1 0 0 7 2 5 4 - - 3.3 2.9 1.43 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
5 1.28 11 1.05 3.5 1.17 - - - - 3.5 1.3 26 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +14.0% | EV +19.9% | ROI +40.3% | n=177 | k=1.42
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.0% | EV +21.3% | ROI +31.0% | n=177 | k=1.32
3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +1.1% | EV +3.8% | ROI -66.4% | n=177 | k=3.50
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.3% | EV -4.3% | ROI +16.8% | n=177 | k=1.30
AI-agent: At the 90th minute with the score tied 1-1 between Osasuna and Sevilla, the market shows no strong pre-match signals, and current movements reflect the recent goal. Osasuna has been more active, especially in the final phase, applying pressure on Sevilla. Historical data strongly supports a +1 handicap for the home team with a 100% win rate in 177 similar matches and a solid ROI of 31%. The model identifies an edge of +16% and expected value of +21.3% for AH_HOME+1 at odds of 1.32, but the entry window closed after the 86th minute. Top-4 markets suggest watching both AH_HOME+1 and AH_AWAY+1 with positive edges but no mandatory bets now. This is a monitoring situation where risk control is essential given the late stage of the match and balanced scoreline.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391134 | minute: 90