Match Replay

Step 10 of 93. Current minute: 12 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	-	-	-	2.2	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	2	3	2	-	-	-	1.65	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.1	3.2	2.3	1.53	1.33	1.33	1.06	10	1.28	3.75	1.95	1.9	3.4	1.33

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.2% | EV +4.2% | ROI +11.4% | n=2045 | k=1.90

2) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.0% | EV +7.5% | ROI +12.4% | n=2045 | k=3.75

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.9% | EV +2.6% | ROI +5.7% | n=2045 | k=1.33

4) No Bet | HOME | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.4% | ROI +3.4% | n=2045 | k=3.10

AI-agent: At 12 minutes into the Vallecano vs Sociedad match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the visitors, reflected by a 12% drop in their odds from pre-match levels, indicating stronger activity and shots on their side. Historical data supports a bet on under 2.5 goals, showing a positive ROI of 11.4% and a fair value odds of 1.71, with a solid sample size of over 2000 matches. Although the model identifies an edge of +2.2% and an expected value of +4.2% for under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.90, it does not yet meet the minimum threshold for a confident bet. The top-4 market signals suggest watching the under 2.5 goals option rather than placing a bet now, emphasizing cautious monitoring rather than immediate entry due to the current risk profile.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 12