Match Replay

Step 14 of 93. Current minute: 16 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	-	-	-	2.1	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	2	3	2	-	-	-	1.77	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.88	3.2	2.5	1.5	1.33	1.36	1.06	10	1.3	3.5	2	1.85	3.4	1.33

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.1% | EV +3.9% | ROI +13.9% | n=1848 | k=1.85

2) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.8% | EV +6.2% | ROI +13.3% | n=1848 | k=3.50

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.9% | EV +2.6% | ROI +8.6% | n=1848 | k=1.33

4) Watch | HOME | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.3% | ROI -6.2% | n=1848 | k=2.88

AI-agent: At 16 minutes in the Vallecano vs Sociedad match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. The market shows no strong signals or significant odds drops from pre-match levels, indicating balanced market pressure. Sociedad is more active in shots and tempo, consistent with their stronger performance in the last encounter on 05.10.2025. Historical data supports a bet on under 2.5 goals with a 61.6% win rate and positive ROI of 13.9%, but the current model edge of +2.1% is below the minimum threshold for a confident bet. Top-4 markets suggest watching under 2.5 goals and other totals, making this a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry. Caution is advised given the moderate edge and ongoing game dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 16