Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	-	2.1	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	2	3	3	-	-	-	1.77	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.88	3.1	2.5	1.5	1.33	1.36	1.08	8	1.36	3.2	2.15	1.68	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.1% | EV +6.6% | ROI +11.3% | n=1673 | k=3.20

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.0% | ROI +7.7% | n=1673 | k=1.68

3) No Bet | Double Chance 1X | Edge -4.0% | EV -6.0% | ROI -2.0% | n=1673 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | HOME | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.5% | ROI -6.5% | n=1673 | k=2.88

AI-agent: At the 20th minute of Vallecano vs Sociedad, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is evident with Sociedad showing more attacking activity, especially in shots, indicating a slight dominance. Historical data supports a low-scoring game under 1.5 goals with a positive ROI of 11.3%, but the current model edge of +2.1% for under 1.5 goals is below the minimum threshold for a confident bet. The top-4 markets suggest watching the under 1.5 goals and under 2.5 goals options, both showing modest positive expected value, while no bets are recommended on double chance or home win due to negative edges. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, emphasizing cautious risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 20