Match Replay

Step 27 of 93. Current minute: 29 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	-	2.05	1.8	1.43
Away	1	0	0	6	3	3	3	-	2.75	2.05	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.88	3	2.6	1.44	1.36	1.36	-	-	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.5	2.62

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.9% | EV +44.8% | ROI -1.1% | n=488 | k=1.80

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +14.3% | EV +20.3% | ROI -4.8% | n=488 | k=1.42

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +4.7% | EV +12.4% | ROI +3.7% | n=488 | k=2.62

4) No Bet | HOME | Edge -0.0% | EV -0.0% | ROI +3.9% | n=488 | k=2.88

AI-agent: At 29 minutes with the score tied 1-1 between Vallecano and Sociedad, the market is leaning towards a draw, with odds dropping 13% from pre-match levels reflecting the current scoreline. The game remains balanced, though Sociedad has been more active in shots, and no sustained pressure from either side is evident recently. Historical data for similar situations shows a moderate edge for a home handicap +1.5, but the negative ROI and failed historical check advise caution. The model signals a potential bet on AH_HOME+1.5 with a positive edge and expected value, yet the entry is not confirmed due to weak historical validation. Top-4 markets recommend watching AH_HOME+1 and AH_HOME+1.5 with notable edges but negative or near-zero ROI, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a strong betting opportunity. Overall, this is a watch scenario with no mandatory bet advised, emphasizing risk control given the balanced match dynamics and uncertain historical support.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 29