Match Replay

Step 54 of 93. Current minute: 56 .

Continue Start ← Back Forward → Finish Archive Seconds per step:

← Back Step 54 of 93 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	8	3	5	2	-	-	-	2.02	1.8	1.43
Away	1	0	0	7	3	4	4	-	2.75	2.05	1.82	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.4	2.3	3.1	1.33	1.53	1.3	-	-	-	-	1.36	3.2	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +24.2% | EV +34.5% | ROI +36.3% | n=346 | k=1.42

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +36.9% | EV +66.4% | ROI +54.4% | n=346 | k=1.80

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +3.0% | EV +4.4% | ROI +12.3% | n=346 | k=1.50

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.3% | EV +7.3% | ROI +18.4% | n=346 | k=3.20

AI-agent: At the 56th minute with the score tied at 1-1 between Vallecano and Sociedad, the market favors a draw, reflected by a 30% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side, though Vallecano is applying more pressure recently. Historical analysis strongly supports a bet on Vallecano with a +1.5 handicap, showing a 95.7% win rate and a 36.3% ROI over 346 similar matches. The model confirms this with a +24.2% edge and +34.5% expected value on AH_HOME+1.5 at odds of 1.43. This position is already held or covered in the portfolio, so no new bet is opened now. Among top markets, AH_HOME+1.5 is the recommended bet with good risk control, while other options like AH_HOME+1 and under goals markets are on watch for potential future opportunities.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 56