Match Replay

Step 69 of 93. Current minute: 75 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	12	6	6	4	-	-	-	2	1.65	1.24
Away	2	0	0	10	6	4	4	-	3.9	2.3	1.85	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	1.8	3.75	1.25	1.91	1.22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.8% | EV +55.7% | ROI +52.2% | n=112 | k=1.65

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +0.3% | EV +1.4% | ROI -28.6% | n=112 | k=4.00

3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -1.7% | EV -3.2% | ROI -33.5% | n=112 | k=1.91

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -1.3% | EV -4.8% | ROI -36.4% | n=112 | k=3.75

AI-agent: At the 75th minute, the score is tied 2-2 between Vallecano and Sociedad in a closely contested LaLiga match. Market pressure favors the visitors, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels, reflecting their more active play and shot dominance. Historical data supports a strong edge for a +1.5 handicap on the home side, showing a 98.2% success rate and solid ROI, which aligns with the current model signal. However, no new bets are recommended now as the position is already covered. The top markets suggest watching the home +1 handicap for potential value, but this is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing cautious risk management given the balanced and dynamic game state.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 75