Match Replay

Step 75 of 93. Current minute: 83 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	12	5	7	4	-	-	-	1.95	1.65	3.55
Away	3	0	0	11	7	4	4	-	1.27	2.3	1.9	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
67	19	1.02	19	1.02	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.4% | EV +92.8% | ROI +103.1% | n=52 | k=2.30

2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -3.9% | EV -13.9% | ROI -31.7% | n=52 | k=3.55

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -44.4% | EV -73.3% | ROI -79.5% | n=52 | k=1.65

AI-agent: At the 83rd minute, Sociedad leads Vallecano 3-1 in this LaLiga match. Market pressure strongly favors Sociedad, with odds dropping 61% from pre-match levels, reflecting confidence in the away side despite no clear shot dominance. Historical data supports a -1 Asian Handicap on Sociedad with a 97.7% win rate and excellent ROI, confirming a strong edge and expected value. The model confirms this bet with a 40.4% edge and 92.8% EV at odds of 2.30, though no new bet is advised as the position is already held or covered. This is a good opportunity to monitor or maintain exposure to the away handicap, but risk control remains important given the current game dynamics and slight home activity spike.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 83