Match Replay

Step 78 of 93. Current minute: 84 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	12	5	7	4	-	-	-	1.95	1.68	1.15
Away	3	0	0	11	7	4	4	-	5.5	2.25	1.9	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
41	4.5	1.22	4	1.18	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.2% | EV +43.9% | ROI -80.6% | n=55 | k=1.68

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.2% | EV +9.0% | ROI -65.5% | n=55 | k=4.00

3) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -3.8% | EV -17.2% | ROI -100.0% | n=55 | k=4.50

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -30.3% | EV -68.2% | ROI +104.5% | n=55 | k=2.25

AI-agent: At 84 minutes in the Vallecano vs Sociedad match, the market strongly favors the visitors, with odds dropping 53% from pre-match levels considering the 2-3 scoreline. However, shot data does not confirm clear dominance by either side, and recent minutes show no sustained pressure. The home team is behind but the gameplay balance remains even, with both teams more active than in their previous meeting. Historical data for similar situations is weak and shows a negative ROI, so the model has not opened a new bet despite an identified edge on AH Home +1.5. Top-4 markets suggest watching AH Home +1 and Double Chance 1X due to positive expected value but recommend no bet currently, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm entry. Caution is advised given the mixed signals and historical underperformance.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 84