Match Replay

Step 83 of 93. Current minute: 90 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	17	6	11	5	-	-	-	1.95	1.68	1.14
Away	3	0	0	12	7	5	4	-	5.75	2.25	1.9	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
41	4.75	1.2	4.33	1.17	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +3.1% | EV +13.5% | ROI -66.0% | n=51 | k=4.33

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.0% | EV +5.6% | ROI -88.7% | n=51 | k=5.75

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.9% | EV -1.5% | ROI +3.3% | n=51 | k=1.68

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -3.2% | EV -7.3% | ROI -5.4% | n=51 | k=2.25

AI-agent: At the 90th minute with Sociedad leading 3-2 against Vallecano, the market shows no strong signals or significant odds drop from pre-match levels. The game has been close, with Vallecano pressing more in shots and tempo, especially in the final phase. Historical data for similar situations is limited but indicates a slight edge for the home win, supported by a 60.8% ROI and a positive model edge of +6.4%. However, the betting window for a home win has closed after the 86th minute. The top-4 markets suggest watching double chance on the home side or Asian handicap for the away team with small positive expected values, but no clear betting opportunity. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, reflecting the current match dynamics and risk control considerations.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 90