Match Replay

Step 9 of 93. Current minute: 11 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	-	-	-	2.15	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	2	3	2	-	-	-	1.68	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3	3.2	2.38	1.53	1.33	1.36	1.06	10	1.28	3.75	1.93	1.93	3.2	1.36

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.3% | EV +4.4% | ROI +12.0% | n=2094 | k=1.92

2) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.0% | EV +7.5% | ROI +10.7% | n=2094 | k=3.75

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.1% | EV +2.9% | ROI +7.4% | n=2094 | k=1.36

4) No Bet | HOME | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.2% | ROI +0.7% | n=2094 | k=3.00

AI-agent: At 11 minutes into the Vallecano vs Sociedad match, the market shows clear pressure favoring the visitors, with odds dropping 9% from pre-match levels. Sociedad is more active in shots and tempo, reflecting their stronger performance compared to Vallecano, who are below their usual level. Historical data supports a total under 2.5 goals with a 58.2% probability and a positive ROI of 12%, confirming a solid edge for this market. The best model suggestion is under 2.5 goals at 1.93 odds, but the edge of +2.3% is slightly below the minimum threshold for a confident bet. Top-4 markets recommend watching the under 2.5 goals option with risk control, as this is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 11